Tony Blair has finally (probably involuntarily) admitted that the war in Iraq has been a disaster. It has been a disaster for American and British foreign policy, and it has been a far worse disaster for the hundreds of thousands who have died at our hands.
But those who voted for this nasty war are rushing for cover, saying that they were misinformed and that they could not have predicted this outcome in Iraq.
Yet these people who claim to be competent to govern our country are apparently much less able to predict the outcome of their actions than the people they serve. Many people (including many politicians such as Douglas Hogg, Robin Cook and Menzies Campbell, knew that there were no weapons of mass destruction. Those who knew most about Iraq were most likely to say that there was no credible threat from the country).
Below is a message I wrote in March 2003, just after the war started. I will highlight in bold the parts where I, a mere bystander, was able to predict the disaster that we have now. If I could do it, politicians should be ashamed that they did not. They certainly have lost my vote.
The question was asked by someone:
What and where is this beast “international law”?
Someone else had answered:
The process by which we try to ensure that we never return to the concept of
‘might is right’, which caused two world wars and goodness knows how many
smaller ones.
And the original writers reply:
So we give up our right to use force when it is correct?
When is it correct?
No I don’t think
so, we fought and won two world wars against aggression started from
outwith these borders.
Hmm… yes we got involved in the first world war, but how just was the
cause? The fight was over empire building versus nationalism, a
struggle between Russia and Austria over the Balkans, a series of
alliances that inevitably led to large scale war, distrust amongst the
colonial powers after the carving up of Africa, a struggle for naval
supremacy and a belief by many parties that they could make a war
short and swift.
The British do not come out of that period covered in glory - it was a
time of change as the colonial period began to disintegrate and the
assumptions of the colonial powers were savaged.
We are now in a new colonial period, with the U.S. acting as the
colonial power. It is interesting to see that at least some of the
same mistakes as were made leading up to the great war are being
repeated again - in particular a belief that a war will be swift and
that the colonial control thus established will lead to a more settled
region.
One can but hope it will be so, but I doubt that the fighting will be
over in the expected 30 days (although I suspect Saddam’s regime will
have fallen in that time). I also have no idea whether Iraq will be a
better place for having Saddam deposed. What will take the place of his
regime? A puppet of the U.S? An interim government that will be
replaced with an elected regime (following the imposition of a
political system upon Iraq by the west)? Another dictator? The
fragmentation of the country?
No one can be certain what will happen next, nor can we be certain
that the result will be any better than the regime the U.S. ousted
(except that the treaties with Russia and France over the oil will be
up for grabs again!)
Swallow your appeasing pride and accept the
fact that Britain wasn’t and isn’t wrong.
Your attitude appears to be that Britain may not always be right, but
it is never wrong! The Great War was a failure of diplomacy following
a colonial period that allowed cultural assumptions to blind European
nations to the precipice that they were approaching. Britain honoured
alliances and fought a war with a nation that was challenging its
naval supremacy, but were we right to do so? Who can say! But the
settlement following the war more or less guaranteed the coming of the
second world war, so again lack of thought led to failure and loss.
Saddam was warned,
he’s resorted to type and is being shown as a tyrant,
Which we knew anyway, especially those who protested against him through the
80s while certain governments regarded him as their favourite tyrant.
Well I would say Iran was more dangerous then, so that policy worked.
Did it? The U.S. and U.K were complicit in the murder of Iraqi
civilians. Innocent people in their thousands died for our policy
which was all about preventing the spread of a form of Islam that
western business interests found distasteful - and even then Iraq was
the aggressor, not Iran!
Does that give you an excuse to now support Saddam?
Wake up! You are not thinking man! Where does anyone say they support
Saddam?
You want to seriously
question why you hate your country so much.
You want to drop this fallacious line and start addressing the
comments put to you in a rational manner, with the assumption that the
people to whom you speak might be capable of joined up reasoning. Why
does a suggestion that war is illegal suggest that one hates one’s
country?
We live in a democracy - in such a system it is the duty of every
individual to make informed decisions about the issues at hand, and it
is therefore inevitable that differences of opinion will emerge. The
only people who hate their democratic countries are those who suggest
that disagreement should be villified.
I therefore put it to you that you hate democracy.
The protestors [are] now in the minority
It is always the case that during the conflict dispassionate thought
gives way to baser motivations as we watch pictures of our mighty
forces killing Iraqis as they shop for food and clothing.
How many people being killed have you watched from the comfortable
safety of your living room since this conflict started? Those flashes
that light up the Baghdad skyline are people being killed for your
entertainment.
The question, of course, will be how many people think that the action
was justified in a year’s time? How many in ten years? How will
history judge this bloody episode?
feel they missed out
on the ‘Nam protests.
That would be the Vietnam war that George W carefully avoided?
If you can’t go to war, protest against it, it will
give you a feeling of importance. Where in actual fact they’re fools.
Why? Saying it is so does not make it so.
remind me [who sold Scuds to Iraq], it certainly wasn’t Britain,
No, I think Nigel will find that the Russians sold the scuds, but the
British sold them plenty of armour. The U.S. sold them armour and even
provided them with their chemical weapons!
but do avoid the point.
“I don’t have Scud missiles” says Saddam. “See - he doesn’t have
missiles” says leftie protestors.
Lefty? If Douglas Hogg can take a stand against going to war then
those who have misgivings are clearly taken from all sides of the
political divide, and include some of our most knowledgeable people
with respect to Iraq - people who would not shie away from a fight if
it were truly necessary.
Let me quote. “Thank you, Saddam bad, Bush OK”.
You are watching too much propoganda. It is addling your mind!
Let me quote an ordinary citizen and resident of Baghdad today:
“We will turn Baghdad into a graveyard for the Americans “
As I pointed out to you before: don’t think that all Iraqis are
going to be happy at the replacement of Saddam in Iraq with an
American viceroy.
You want us to be beaten,
No, he doesn’t want our forces there at all. As they are there, it
would be much worse if they are beaten, so one can hope that they
get in and out as quickly as possible with as few casualties as
possible - that does not make their action right!
[ad hominem argument directed at Nigel deleted]
Yes they are. The UK/US would have been in, fought and won the bloody
war by now
What utter twaddle! How would they have done that without their
armour and equipment pray tell? This action began precisely when
George W had always planned for it to begin. There was no delay
(beyond perhaps a few days - but even then I am not convinced).
if you appeasing [vulgarity deleted]
What a vulgar ad hominem that is. Especially as it has already been
demonstrated to you that it is fallacious.
hadn’t dragged it all out, dotted the
i’s and crossed the t’s.
Um… what i’s are dotted? What t’s are crossed? It was failure to
achieve a majority view in the U.N. that makes this war illegal.
[more silly ad hominems against Nigel deleted]
[Nigel wrote:]
Ah, so to fight for freedom, democracy, and all that stuff, you want to
label all those who disagree with your opinion “appeasers” and “traitors”.
In this instance they are traitors.
You do not know the meaning of the word. There is no treason on the
part of the protestors. They object but they do not aid the enemy or
betray the sovereign or her people.
You would already know this if you had bothered read my last message
to you.
When I know my fellow countrymen are
fighting Iraqi forces and some appeasing traitors wave Iraqi flags in
George Square, Glasgow, what am I supposed to make of it.
Make of it what you will - protest is not treachery. Denial and
suppression of protest is.
Don’t be such a hypocrite.
No hypocrite,
All evidence to the contrary.
I know what’s what.
All evidence to the contrary.
You can’t find it in yourself to admit
you’re a traitor.
More such evidence.
Regards,
Stephen